Roman Polanski, revisited

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Dec 072009

The following study in the LA Times makes a very interesting point about turnings: http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-polanski-sentence4-2009dec04,0,3380394.story. Cases identical to Polanski’s today receive much more severe sentences, on average, than the sentence that Polanski avoided in 1978 by fleeing the country.

Committing a sex crime against a (Nomad) minor during a Second Turning (Awakening) will result in much lighter sentencing than waiting 20-odd years until late in a Third Turning (Unraveling) when everyone will be thinking about Hero minors.

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A.L.

This is so interesting. Too bad I was too young to know Roman Polanski that well. Neil and Bill's theory really hits it.
http://www.thehourglassblog.blogspot.com/ Eric Lanke

So does that mean sentencing will get lighter in the future when the next Nomad generation are kids?

Neil Howe

Neil Howe, a historian, economist, and demographer, has authored or coauthored over a dozen books, including: On Borrowed Time (1989, 2004), Generations (1991), The Fourth Turning (1997), Millennials Rising (2000), Millennials Go To College (2003, 2007), The Graying of the Great Powers (2008), The Global Aging Preparedness Index (2010), and Millennials in the Workplace (2010).

Neil is the founder and president of LifeCourse Associates, which advises corporate and nonprofit clients. A senior associate to the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, D.C., he also contributes regularly to the CSIS Global Aging Initiative. He received his bachelor’s degree from U.C. Berkeley and master degrees in both history and economics from Yale. Read more about Neil.

“Saeculum” is a Latin word of unknown origin (Romans in the late republic believed it derived from Etruscan), which is often translated into English as “century” but which originally meant the span of a long human life. Its significance to generations and historical change was explored by Neil Howe and William Strauss in The Fourth Turning.

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